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Fig. 1 | BMC Gastroenterology

Fig. 1

From: Interactive decision support for esophageal adenocarcinoma screening and surveillance

Fig. 1

Risk calculator tab. In example a) A 60-year-old white male with moderate physical activity, non-use of NSAIDs or statins, no family history of BE or EAC, weekly – daily reflux symptoms, a body mass index (BMI) of 28 (“overweight”), who never smoked cigarettes, and has not been screened (BE status unknown) is estimated to have a 10-year risk of developing EAC of 5.7 per 1000, or 1 in 175 people of similar characteristics. This is higher than the 10-year risk of dying from colon cancer and stroke for a 60-year-old white male, but lower than that from injury or heart disease. In example b) this same individual has undergone an upper endoscopy and found to have a visible Barrett’s segment length of 5 cm, but no evidence of dysplasia. His 10-year risk is now estimated to be 34.0 per 1000 (1 in 29 people) which is approximately equal to his risk of dying from heart disease

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